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CRAFTED PROOF
THE PRACTICE

Your story leads. The data has its back.

You built something real. People, a place, a reason to exist. We don't flatten that into a spreadsheet, and we don't let it float on adjectives.

The story leads. Scan data guides it from the background, then steps forward when a decision needs backing.

Aerial view of planted agave fields fading into low morning fog, with a distillery shed on the far edge.
PROJECTS

The work, and what it moved.

A worker walking a rutted red dirt road between rows of blue agave under low fog.
PROJECT Nº 01 · ADDITIVE-FREE AGAVE SPIRITS
MEASURED IN SELL-THROUGH

Story and shelf, moving together.

The story went out through earned channels first. Then a 25-page review on three years of scan data went to the buyers, and the velocity diagnostics became the sales story.

One distributor in one state became 22 across ten. Velocity held the whole way, on under 4% distribution.

+368%
RETAIL $ GROWTH · 2 YRS
Top 9%
AMONG 974 TEQUILA BRANDS
+68%
DEPLETIONS, YEAR ON YEAR
PROJECT Nº 02 · CRAFT DISTILLERY & WATERFRONT HOSPITALITY
MEASURED IN EARNED ATTENTION

A launch the press showed up for.

A distillery and waterfront hospitality startup, taken to market on earned media instead of paid. PR, organic social and live activation run as one engine.

72% of the reach came from audiences the brand had never touched, which compounds instead of resetting when the spend stops.

680M+
PRESS IMPRESSIONS · 3 MO
100%
POSITIVE SENTIMENT
+89%
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT, WOW
A crowd gathered along a waterfront railing at golden hour, harbour and city skyline behind them, one host mid-gesture addressing the group.
Hand-painted flow gauges on a distillery still panel labelled alimento, colas, reflujo, cabezas, destilado.
PROJECT Nº 03 · CATEGORY INTELLIGENCE STACK
MEASURED IN HOURS RETURNED

Monday morning, the reading is already done.

Scan and depletion data loading on a schedule, Metabase on top, reports that send themselves. Executive summary, key markets, retailer scorecards, and a weekly at-risk report ranked by cases at stake.

The time comes back as store visits, distributor rides and tastings.

900+
ACCOUNTS MONITORED
13
MARKETS ON ONE VIEW
Weekly
WITHOUT A HUMAN TOUCH
PROJECT Nº 04 · PUBLISHED WHITEPAPER SERIES
MEASURED IN CITATIONS

Forecasts, scored in public.

Seventeen papers across tequila and American whisky this year, each built on weekly scan data with the methodology in the back.

When a paper puts a number on the future, the next one grades it. The July scorecard graded a March forecast line by line, correction included.

17
PAPERS PUBLISHED, 2026
2
CATEGORIES COVERED
3 yr
WEEKLY SCAN HISTORY
READ THE SERIES →
A corridor between stacked oak barrels in a dim rickhouse, warm light across the staves.

What we build

Nº 01

Brand story & earned media

Your story, in your voice, told across the channels it earns.

Nº 02

Category reviews

Multi-year scan reads: velocity by tier, price and pack, door economics, channel calls.

Nº 03

Scenario models

Bear, base and bull paths, each with the trigger metrics that tell you which one you're on.

Nº 04

Retail sales stories

Buyer decks built from live data. The pitch, the planogram argument, the velocity receipts.

Nº 05

Dashboards & reporting

Readings that compile themselves, and distributor reports that actually get opened.

Nº 06

Trade programs & playbooks

Commercialization plans, displays and merch, playbooks timed to monthly retailer priorities.

EXCERPT · SCENARIO MODEL

A model earns its keep when you score it.

In March we put three paths on high-proof tequila for the full year. In July we published the checkpoint.

Five months in, the segment was tracking within a point of the base case and the bull window had closed. We held the base and narrowed the range to $25.5M–$27.5M.

-5.3%
VELOCITY YOY, ON +20% DISTRIBUTION
FIG. 02 · HIGH-PROOF CORE TEQUILA, ANNUAL DOLLARS
The doubling stopped. The segment didn't.
2023–2026F
$8M $16M $24M $32M $11.4M $18.7M $25.4M $26.2M 2023 2024 2025 L52W +64% +36% +13.3% FY2026 SCENARIOS BULL $30.5M · 20% BASE $26.7M · 55% BEAR $24.7M · 25%
SOURCE: NIELSEN BYZZER OFF-PREMISE, TOTAL US · HIGH-PROOF CORE TEQUILA, ABOVE 42% ABV · L52W ENDING 05-30-2026 · SCENARIOS PUBLISHED MARCH 2026, SCORED JULY 2026
EXCERPT · DASHBOARDS & REPORTING

The report nobody has to build.

Two live examples. The at-risk report is the one that changes behavior, because it ranks lapsed accounts by the cases they were carrying before they stopped ordering.

FIG. 03 · WEEKLY AT-RISK ACCOUNT REPORT
754 accounts stopped ordering. These are the ones worth a phone call.
W/E 08-29-2026
754
ACCOUNTS AT RISK
▲ +8 vs prior week
1,814
12-MO CASES AT STAKE
▼ -53 cases
74
NEWLY AT RISK
crossed 90 days this week
42
WON BACK
ordered again this week
MARKET / WHOLESALER
AT RISK
PRIOR WK
CHANGE
12-MO CASES
Texas · Metro A
50
53
▼ 3
136
Texas · Metro B
62
62
149
Tennessee · Wholesaler A
106
100
▲ 6
192
Tennessee · Wholesaler B
45
40
▲ 5
196
Control state · Northeast A
181
174
▲ 7
260
Open state · Northeast B
33
40
▼ 7
188
TOTAL · 13 MARKETS
754
746
▲ 8
1,814
SOURCE: DEPLETION FEED VIA VIP IDIG, WAREHOUSED AND RENDERED IN METABASE · AT RISK = NO ORDER IN 90+ DAYS, LOST AFTER 9 MONTHS · RANKED BY 12-MONTH VOLUME BEFORE LAPSE
FIG. 04 · RETAILER SCORECARD
Every account, ranked against its own cohort.
L52W · 13 MARKETS
RETAILER COHORT
RANK
IN COHORT
SCORE
Chain · Southwest A
6
252
88.9
Chain · Southwest B
13
419
88.5
State census · Southwest
14
548
88.8
Military · CONUS
13
89
80.9
Chain · Southeast A
40
148
66.2
VELOCITY, $/TDP, BY PERIOD
180 90 L12W L26W L4W L52W YTD 175.69
Velocity up 9.9% on distribution up 18.0%. Both engines positive, which is the read a buyer can't argue with.
SOURCE: NIELSEN BYZZER OFF-PREMISE SCAN, RENDERED IN METABASE
A rocks glass with a small pour resting on a charred barrel head beside a copper valinch.
HOW WE WORK

Senior operators, not a bench.

Strategy, execution and measurement stay with the same people, so the story on the shelf, in the deck and in the data never drift apart.

We read the category before we touch the data. The narrative comes first, then the numbers that hold it up.

Two rules we don't bend. Every figure traces to a named source with a geography and a date range. And if the number doesn't support the claim, the claim doesn't go in.

FLAT MONTHLY RATE

One number for strategy, management and intelligence.

COSTS AT COST

Subcontractors billed at what they bill us.

AUTOMATION OVER HOURS

The crunching runs itself, so budget faces the market.

PROJECT Nº 05 · FREE TOOL

The Bench: cocktail math, worked out.

Dilution, final ABV, batch scaling, cost per pour. We built it for our own bar work and left it open.

No signup. No email.

OPEN THE BENCH →
WORKED EXAMPLE · BATCHED MARGARITA
SPIRIT2.00 oz · 40.0% ABV
CITRUS + SYRUP1.25 oz
SHAKE DILUTION+24%
15.4%
ABV IN GLASS · 4.03 OZ SERVED
Aerial view straight down onto planted rows of blue agave in red soil.

Your category has a story like this. Let's take the reading.

The first conversation is free, and you don't need to bring numbers.

START A CONVERSATION